Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000271 0.000304 0.000338 0.000378 0.000423 0.000471 0.000527
2025-03-23 0.000227 0.000271 0.000321 0.000382 0.000455 0.000538 0.000642
2025-03-30 0.000193 0.000243 0.000303 0.000380 0.000478 0.000596 0.000750
2025-04-06 0.000170 0.000225 0.000294 0.000387 0.000509 0.000665 0.000878
2025-04-13 0.000151 0.000208 0.000284 0.000389 0.000535 0.000727 0.001003
2025-04-20 0.000134 0.000192 0.000271 0.000386 0.000551 0.000778 0.001116
2025-04-27 0.000124 0.000184 0.000269 0.000397 0.000588 0.000859 0.001277
2025-05-04 0.000114 0.000175 0.000263 0.000403 0.000615 0.000928 0.001426
2025-05-11 0.000105 0.000166 0.000258 0.000407 0.000641 0.000996 0.001578
2025-05-18 0.000095 0.000155 0.000249 0.000403 0.000653 0.001045 0.001704
2025-05-25 0.000089 0.000149 0.000244 0.000407 0.000679 0.001114 0.001868
2025-06-01 0.000081 0.000140 0.000236 0.000404 0.000690 0.001161 0.002000
2025-06-08 0.000075 0.000133 0.000230 0.000403 0.000708 0.001223 0.002163
2025-06-15 0.000070 0.000127 0.000225 0.000405 0.000729 0.001291 0.002344
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000120 0.000217 0.000401 0.000741 0.001345 0.002503
2025-06-29 0.000061 0.000116 0.000215 0.000407 0.000770 0.001430 0.002727
2025-07-06 0.000057 0.000111 0.000212 0.000409 0.000793 0.001505 0.002938
2025-07-13 0.000053 0.000106 0.000205 0.000406 0.000803 0.001558 0.003112
2025-07-20 0.000051 0.000104 0.000206 0.000417 0.000844 0.001673 0.003416
2025-07-27 0.000048 0.000101 0.000205 0.000423 0.000873 0.001766 0.003683
2025-08-03 0.000046 0.000098 0.000202 0.000427 0.000900 0.001857 0.003955
2025-08-10 0.000043 0.000093 0.000197 0.000423 0.000910 0.001914 0.004160
2025-08-17 0.000041 0.000091 0.000195 0.000427 0.000938 0.002010 0.004454